Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 8.044855 9.448944 10.988000 12.795177 14.853767 17.120302 19.799052
2025-11-30 5.844804 7.779727 10.129723 13.168333 16.964892 21.521427 27.369952
2025-12-07 4.608306 6.779307 9.637551 13.616473 18.942796 25.749417 35.014809
2025-12-14 3.557647 5.722154 8.781314 13.319142 19.756975 28.422119 40.794494
2025-12-21 2.791243 4.873150 8.011081 12.936337 20.287695 30.633810 46.016957
2025-12-28 2.451934 4.587764 7.984543 13.569231 22.254067 34.919626 54.362591
2026-01-04 2.141258 4.279698 7.857132 13.997799 23.913344 38.847559 62.439783
2026-01-11 1.822948 3.891528 7.529431 14.041589 24.944578 41.877868 69.361402
2026-01-18 1.561244 3.552273 7.225507 14.067074 25.915520 44.847018 76.345403
2026-01-25 1.296573 3.151885 6.747215 13.718492 26.207610 46.732853 81.727092
2026-02-01 1.082218 2.808447 6.318184 13.392584 26.482492 48.575087 87.113601
2026-02-08 0.886043 2.460685 5.823940 12.874738 26.350121 49.702070 91.366836
2026-02-15 0.702528 2.109880 5.289541 12.256578 26.059551 50.684950 95.718112
2026-02-22 0.629896 2.015601 5.290368 12.720702 27.861187 55.488010 106.976625
2026-03-01 0.565537 1.926643 5.287783 13.175680 29.686709 60.465665 118.864560
2026-03-08 0.466708 1.714610 4.961713 12.890336 30.014598 62.735157 126.106223
2026-03-15 0.381011 1.513344 4.621199 12.518886 30.116526 64.571642 132.659573
2026-03-22 0.353014 1.483600 4.707380 13.134269 32.325859 70.544808 147.130337
2026-03-29 0.319611 1.426146 4.710346 13.550984 34.143955 75.873610 160.692283
2026-04-05 0.276898 1.322374 4.567873 13.593568 35.145568 79.657356 171.541997
2026-04-12 0.239717 1.225805 4.426741 13.618349 36.103950 83.407901 182.524338
2026-04-19 0.198116 1.095595 4.159748 13.279417 36.194992 85.391280 190.170396
2026-04-26 0.163881 0.981075 3.915347 12.962560 36.299448 87.396342 197.953415